"ToC components";"Assumptions It is assumed that …";"Key risks to the protected area system"
"Input component"
"Society that values conservation";"1. The majority of society values protected areas.";"1. The majority of society does not value protected areas."
"2. The majority of society values conservation.";"2. The majority of society does not value conservation."
"Land available for conservation/protection";"3. The current land/property rights system will remain in place.";"3. The current land/property rights system changes."
"4. Conservation can prevail into the future as a preferred land use for existing protected areas.";"4. Conservation cannot prevail into the future as a preferred land use for existing protected areas."
"Conservation value";"5. We can define and agree on which areas have conservation value.";"5. We cannot define and agree on which areas have conservation value."
"6. The conservation value of the area which is to be conserved and protected will remain.";"6. The conservation value of protected areas will change over time."
"Legislator and executive to implement and enforce laws";"7. There will be enforcement of protected areas and conservation laws.";"7. There is no enforcement of protected areas and conservation laws."
"8. Protected areas boundaries are accepted, respected and enforced.";"8. Protected areas boundaries are not accepted, not respected and not enforced."
Infrastructure;"9. Supporting infrastructure within protected areas will be provided and if so it will be for the promotion of conservation.";"9. There will be no provision of supporting infrastructure within protected areas to promote conservation."
"Skills and Competencies";"10. Those managing protected areas value conservation.";"10. Those who are managing protected areas do not value conservation."
"11. Leadership, management and scientific competence exists to manage protected areas.";"11. Management authorities do not have sufficient leadership, management and scientific skills."
Budget;"12. Government will budget for state managed protected areas creation and management";"12. Government will not budget for state managed protected areas creation and management."
"13. Protected areas can “pay their way” i.e., they are economically viable.";"13. Protected areas cannot “pay their way” i.e., they are economically unviable."
"Activity component"
"Plan and create/proclaim protected areas";"14. Conservation can prevail as a preferred land use outside of existing protected areas.";"14. Conservation is not considered to be a preferred land use outside existing protected areas."
"Manage protected areas";"15. All protected areas have management authorities.";"15. Management authorities are not appointed for PAs or are not competent."
"16. All protected areas can comply with the relevant laws, regulations and norms and standards.";"16. Protected areas and management authorities cannot comply with the relevant laws, regulations and norms and standards."
"Protect, preserve and conserve";"17. Those trained in conservation can sufficiently mange protected areas and deal with protection actions (i.e. anti-poaching)";"17. Management authorities and those trained in conservation do not have capacity to deal with conservation and protection actions (i.e. anti-poaching)."
"Rehabilitate and restore";"18. Management authorities have the capacity to rehabilitate and restore degraded systems.";"18. Management authorities do not have the capacity to rehabilitate and restore degraded systems."
"Establish intergovernmental cooperation";"19. Cooperative governance exists between the management authority and different organs of state and spheres of government.";"19. Cooperative governance does not exist between the management authority and different organs of state and spheres of government."
"Public consultation";"20. The public can be meaningfully consulted on protected areas and conservation related matters.";"20. The public cannot be, or is not meaningfully consulted on protected areas and conservation related matters."
"Outcome component"
"Protection and conservation";"21. Sufficient land can be formally secured (under different types of formal protection) to deliver protection and conservation of ecologically viable areas representative of SA biodiversity and its natural landscapes and seascapes.";"21. Sufficient land/areas cannot be formally secured (under different types of formal protection) to deliver protection and conservation of ecologically viable areas representative of SA biodiversity and its natural landscapes and seascapes."
"Sustainable supply and use";"22. Protected areas can provide a sustainable supply of environmental goods and services to communities.";"22. Protected areas do not provide a sustainable supply of environmental goods and services to communities."
"Nature-based tourism";"23. There is a link between tourism locations and conservation value.";"23. A link does not exist between viable nature-based tourism locations and conservation value."
"Human, social, cultural, spiritual and economic development";"24. Protected areas can deliver human, social, cultural, spiritual and economic development.";"24. Protected areas do not, or cannot, make a contribution to human, social, cultural, spiritual and economic development."
"Impact component"
"Progressive realisation of S24 environmental right";"25. Protected areas will contribute to the progressive realisation of the environmental right contained in Section 24 of the Constitution.";"25. Protected areas do not contribute to the progressive realisation of the environmental right contained in Section 24 of the Constitution."