Research Article |
|
Corresponding author: Taiga Kunishima ( taiga.kunishima@setsunan.ac.jp ) Academic editor: Balu Alagar Venmathi Maran
© 2025 Taiga Kunishima.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Kunishima T (2025) Difference in sale strategies drive spatial heterogeneity in collection pressure through online auctions: the role of body colour variation in the Japanese freshwater crabs, Geothelphusa dehaani species complex. Nature Conservation 59: 279-300. https://doi.org/10.3897/natureconservation.59.142085
|
The increase in online sales of living organisms has raised considerable concerns about its impact on wildlife. High demand for specific biological traits can intensify collection pressure via wildlife trades, yet the effects of colour variations and their geographical distribution on regional collection pressure remain poorly understood. This study analysed 11 years of transaction data — including, number, volume, price, date, colour types (DB: dark brown; RD: red; SB: sky blue; OT: other colours; and Mix) and collection locality — for the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex, renowned for its regional colour variations and aquarium popularity. Contrary to expectations that rarer colouration types (SB and OT types) are collected in higher numbers, the wild G. dehaani species complex collection pressure via online auctions (i.e. selling volume of wild-caught individuals) was higher for the common DB type (15,493 individuals) than for the rarer SB and OT types (2,073 and 173 individuals, respectively). This difference arose from a mechanism based on two distinct strategies linked to the colour traits and geographical distribution: the DB type followed a low-profit, high-sales (LPHS) strategy, selling large quantities at low unit prices, while the SB and OT types employed a high-profit, low-sales (HPLS) strategy, selling fewer individuals at higher unit prices. These findings highlight how colour variations influence online auction sales strategies and may negatively impact wildlife populations due to heterogeneous collection pressure at regional or local levels. Given the potential for rapid shifts of such mechanism driven by the appearance of mass sellers or the taxonomic revisions (i.e. additional value by a new species), our study suggests that implementing nuanced regulatory measures — for example, annual limits on the number of living animal auctions per taxon per year — could mitigate the risks associated with the diverse collection pressures through online auctions.
Aquarium trade, auction strategy, biodiversity, conservation, consumer preference, market demand
Online wildlife trade poses a significant threat to biodiversity conservation (
Identifying factors that influence the value and volume of online wildlife trade and assessing their effects on species or populations, are key challenges for biodiversity conservation (
Wildlife trade is shaped not only by consumer preferences, but also by economic market dynamics (
Freshwater crabs serve as an illustrative case study for understanding variations in wildlife trade, including online auction sales. True freshwater crabs have adapted to freshwater, semi-terrestrial or terrestrial environments and can complete their life cycle independently of the marine ecosystem (
Geothelphusa dehaani species complex exhibits body colour variation, traditionally classified into three main types: DA (dark), RE (red) and BL (blue) (Suppl. material
This study aims to determine how colour variation influences online auction sale strategies for the G. dehaani species complex and, consequently, how differences in colour-based sale strategies, along with non-random geographical distribution of colour variation in the G. dehaani species complex, may negatively impact specific wild populations through online auctions. To achieve this goal, the author examined the differences in transaction trends of distinct body colouration traits, analysing prices, volumes and individual counts of the G. dehaani sensu lato from completed transactions on Yahoo! Auction, Japan’s leading online auction platform, in a period of 11 years. This study also evaluated the collection pressure through online auctions, based on basic transaction volumes and collection locations of the wild G. dehaani species complex. I predicted that high volume auction-sales of SB and OT types, combined with their limited and non-random geographical distributions, would lead to spatial heterogeneity in high collection pressure through online auctions. Findings of this study indicate the potential negative impact of private living animal sales on colour polymorphic wildlife, particularly within the context of the expanding online auction market for living animals.
This study utilised an 11-year dataset of successful G. dehaani sensu lato transactions from January 2013 to December 2023. Auction data were retrieved using the keyword in katakana “Sawagani,” which translates to freshwater crabs in Japanese, from AucFan, a comprehensive online auction database (download date: 23 January 2024). AucFan enables users to search and compare product and price information across various e-commerce auction sites, including Yahoo! Auction, the primary platform for trading live animals in Japan (AucFan.com 2024). AucFan’s historical transaction records facilitate comparisons across years. All transactions used in this study were within country.
The collected auction data included 3,988 transactions involving 17 species (G. dehaani sensu lato, G. albogilva, G. exigua, G. grandiovata, G. koshikiensis, G. kumejima, G. mariginata, G. minei, G. sakamotoanus, G. tenuimanus, Candidiopotamon kumejimense, C. okinawense, C. tokashikiense, Mediapotamon sp., Candidiopotamon sp., Ryukyum yaeyamense and unverifiable freshwater crab species), as the name “Sawagani” is used not only for “G. dehaani”, but also as a root in the standard Japanese names of other freshwater crab species in the genus Geothelphusa and those in related genera (e.g. Yakushima-sawagani for G. marmorata and “Okinawa-minami-sawagani” for Candidiopotamon okinawense). As species from foreign countries or the Ryukyu Islands possess added value beyond colour traits (Kunishima, unpublished data), this study focused exclusively on the Geothelphusa dehaani sensu lato, narrowing the analysis to 3,431 online auction transactions. As noted in the Introduction section, G. dehaani sensu lato now includes cryptic species or deeply divergent populations (
The dataset was enhanced by adding information from each transaction’s page to the initial data retrieved from the AucFan site. The refined dataset for the G. dehaani species complex included several variables: title, traded category, collection location (Prefecture), colouration type, origin, number of individuals, opening-price, closing-price, difference between opening-price and closing-price (price-difference), price per individual, traded date, seller ID, seller category and shipping address (prefectures in Japan). The traded category was classified, based on the transaction description, either for pet or food use. Details such as the collection location, colouration type, origin and number of individuals, were extracted from the transaction page descriptions and photographs. If specific information was unavailable, it was labelled as unverifiable. The colouration type was categorised into five groups: DB (dark brown), RD (red), SB (sky blue), OT (other colours) and Mix (a combination of several colour individuals, for example, DB and SB). In this study, colour classification was primarily based on the auction title and seller descriptions, as auction strategy relies on both sellers’ and buyers’ perceptions of colour. When no notes about colour were provided, carapace colouration from photographs attached in the auction page was used for categorisation into five colouration types in this study, given that G. dehaani species complex colour type is generally recognised by its carapace appearance. The basis of the case based on carapace colouration, was following DB: uniform dark brown carapace; RD: carapace with reddish parts at least; SB: carapace with sky-blue or white parts at least; and OT: carapace colouration that did not fall under the above categories. Consequently, this classification did not correspond to the colour definitions of previous studies that used not only carapace, but also pereiopods colourations (e.g.
Data analysis was performed using R version 4.3.1. with RStudio 2023.12.1 (
A generalised additional model (GAM) assessed the non-linear annual fluctuations in two quantitative metrics: the number of individuals per deal and price-per-individual, excluding the RD type due to the limited transactions (n = 38). The model considered colouration type as a categorical predictor and allowed for separate smoothing functions over the years for each type. Response variables were log-transformed to approximate normality and to stabilise variance (i.e. log (number of individuals per deal) and log (price-per-individual + 1)). The Gaussian family was used with an identity link function and the smoothing parameter k = 9 was automatically selected by the gam() function in the mgcv package, based on the generalised cross-validation scores of 0.54 and 0.80 in models for the number of individuals per deal and the price-per-individual, respectively. Model significance and smoothing terms were evaluated using approximate F-tests, with a significance threshold set at P < 0.05. The GAM-predicted smooth curves with 95% confidence intervals and observed plots were visualised using the ggplot2 package.
Geographical distributions of the collection locations for each coloration type and the top sellers were visualised using QGIS version 3.34.1-Prizren (
The G. dehaani species complex had high demand as a pet in Japanese online auctions and wild individuals were sold in large quantities. During the 11-year assessment period, 46,319 individuals were traded in 3,431 transactions, generating total sales of 4,256,311 JPY (Suppl. material
Two transaction patterns emerged, based on body colouration traits: (1) high quantities with low price-per-individual for the DB and Mix types and (2) low quantities, but with high price-per-individual for the SB and OT types. The DB consistently surpassed other colour types in total deals and individuals and the number of individuals per deal (Fig.
Differences in values of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex. A. Total number of deals; B. Total individuals; C. Individuals per deal; D. Number of sellers. Bar colours represent the colouration types (dark brown: DB, red: RD, sky blue: SB, other: OT and Mix).
Comparison of the log-transformed prices of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex in online auctions amongst the different colouration types. A. Opening-price; B. Closing-price; C. Difference between opening – and closing-prices; D. Price per individual. Abbreviations of the colouration type are shown and the box, central line, interval line from each box and circles indicate the 25th–75th quartiles, median, distribution from minimum to maximum and outlier values, respectively. Different letters indicate significant differences between groups, with p < 0.05.
Relationship between the number of individuals per deal and closing-price for each colouration type of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex. An extreme outlier (one dark brown (DB) transaction with over 500 individuals at 50000 yen) was excluded.
Annual increases were observed in total deals, individuals and amounts, with marked surges in 2018 and 2020 (Fig.
Annual trends in values of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex. A. Number of deals; B. Number of individuals; C. Transaction value; D. Number of sellers. Bar colours denote the colouration types. The secondary axis in A–C. Indicates total values by year, while D. Shows the average number of deals per seller.
GAMs revealed that temporal shifts in the number of individuals per deal and the price-per-individual varied, based on body colouration traits. Annual trends in the number of individuals per deal exhibited two distinct patterns: higher fluctuations in the DB and SB types and lower fluctuations in the OT and Mix types (Table
Temporal trends in traded numbers and price of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex. A. Changes in the log-transformed number of individuals per deal from 2013 to 2023 were analysed using Generalised Additive Models (GAM). Each colour represents a different colouration type (dark brown: DB, sky blue: SB, other: OT and Mix). Shaded areas indicate the 95% confidence intervals; B. Log-transformed price per individual (+1) over the same period was also modelled with GAM. Points indicate individual observations and lines represent the fitted values for each colouration type.
Generalised additive models. F-values, significance test P-values and estimated degrees of freedom (edf) are given for the colouration types against the temporal changes of two values: number of individuals per deal and price per individual. The adjusted R 2, deviance explained proportion (%) and generalised cross-validation scores (GCV) are also shown.
| Parameters | Number of individuals per deal | Price per individual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | t | 129.1 | 179.5 |
| Pr(>|t|) | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | |
| Estimate | 2.439 | 4.13 | |
| s(year):colouration_DB | F | 17.14 | 71.32 |
| P | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | |
| edf | 7.932 | 8.800 | |
| s(year):colouration_RD | F | 15.89 | 9.302 |
| P | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | |
| edf | 2.823 | 3.130 | |
| s(year):colouration_SB | F | 6.411 | 21.10 |
| P | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | |
| edf | 8.582 | 5.390 | |
| s(year):colouration_OT | F | 2.938 | 10.69 |
| P | 0.001 | < 0.0001 | |
| edf | 8.442 | 2.829 | |
| s(year):colouration_Mix | F | 9.302 | 12.00 |
| P | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | |
| edf | 8.490 | 4.744 | |
| n | 3388 | 3388 | |
| R 2 adj. | 0.411 | 0.470 | |
| Deviance explained (%) | 41.8 | 47.5 | |
| GCV | 0.540 | 0.795 |
The geographical distributions of WC individuals sold in online auctions varied by colouration types, with the DB and Mix showing widespread distribution, while the RD, SB and OT types were more localised (Fig.
Map showing the geographical distributions and number of individuals by colouration type of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex sold via Japanese online auctions (January 2013–December 2023). Circle sizes represent the number of deals.
Geographical tracking of sellers and the collection locations revealed that sellers tended to be unique to each area and operated with a monopolistic manner, particularly in high-transaction areas. Amongst the 139 sellers, 119 were non-professionals (85.6% of the total) and 96 completed only a single transaction. Of the 1,763 transactions with known collection sites, 93.7% (1,652 deals) matched the seller’s location, suggesting most sellers collected the G. dehaani species complex locally (Suppl. material
Map showing the geographical distribution of individuals sold by the top 20 sellers of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex via Japanese online auctions (January 2013–December 2023). Circle sizes indicate the number of individuals sold. The identification number of sellers (A to T) and the number of deals is shown in parentheses.
This study aimed to determine how body colouration traits and its geographical distribution of the G. dehaani species complex influence online auction sale strategies and collection pressure through online auctions on the wild individuals. Contrary to expectations, collection pressure via online auctions was higher for the common DB type than for the rarer SB and OT types (Fig.
The first mechanism involves reducing the number of individuals collected through the HPLS strategy, which is a high-value-addition strategy. This strategy entails selling a small number of individuals at a high price per unit and applies to transactions that involve locally distributed, rare types, such as the SB and OT types. In the case of the SB and OT types of the G. dehaani species complex, the total number of individuals, collected from the wild populations, was lower than that from the DB populations, thus indicating a reduced collection pressure via online auction (Suppl. material
The second mechanism involves increased collection pressure via online auction, through a LPHS strategy. This applies to the DB type, which has a wide distribution and high generality, as well as the Mix type, which contains multiple colour types. As the DB type is more common with wide distribution than the SB and OT types and has a lower unit price (Fig.
The present study suggests that wildlife biological traits such as body colouration can drive the human behaviour on the market (i.e. sale strategies). Furthermore, the findings highlight the potential for auction strategies to create heterogeneity in collection pressure by being influenced by the biological traits and distribution patterns of target organisms. While many studies have investigated the effects of auction sales on wildlife, few have explicitly linked these dynamics to the spatial distribution of biological traits and collection pressure heterogeneity (
This study discusses how two strategies influence the local collection pressures via online auctions; however, these dynamics may shift dramatically with the emergence of a mass seller. As a countermeasure, the author proposes establishing an annual limit on the number of living animals auctioned per species for the online auction platform. Fig.
In addition, future taxonomic revision for this species complex may also alter the dynamics of colour-based sales strategies. Recent phylogenetic studies classified the G. dehaani sensu lato into five populations which have distinct geographical boundaries (
In this study, while transaction data indicate varying collection pressure via online auctions on the G. dehaani species complex by body colouration traits, the actual impact on wild populations was not tested because of a lack of wild population parameters, such as abundance and density. As suggested by
In addition to enhancing field information on the targeted species’ status, a deeper understanding of demand mechanisms is also required. This study suggests the possibility that distinct marketing strategies resulting from colour variation may reflect different customer needs. Specifically, the SB and OT types were in high demand as pets, while the DB and Mix types fulfilled both food and pet food demands. The observation that several items in the pet category were advertised as food items and that all G. dehaani sensu lato in the food category were of the Mix type (composed of only DB and RD types) may support this hypothesis. In Japan, G. dehaani sensu lato is eaten in some mountainous regions, but the SB type is not consumed in the areas where it lives (
This study analysed transaction data from online auctions, focusing on how body colour traits affect sales strategies for the G. dehaani species complex and changes the collection pressure via online auctions in relation to these geographical distributions. The results of this study demonstrate that the interplay between colour variation and the geographical distribution of the G. dehaani species complex significantly shapes sale strategies and the resulting heterogeneity in online auction related collection pressure on wildlife populations. The results reveal that, for rarer types such as SB and OT, sellers tend to adopt a high-profit, low-sales (HPLS) strategy that limits the number of individuals sold while maintaining high unit prices. This approach results in relatively lower collection pressures via online auctions, despite having the narrow distribution range in certain types, particularly the SB type. In contrast, for more common types like DB and Mix, a low-profit, high-sales (LPHS) strategy is employed, characterised by the sale of a larger number of individuals at lower prices per unit, which leads to increased collection pressure via online auctions, especially for the widely distributed DB type. These findings underscore how marketing strategies driven by inherent biological traits and its geographical distribution can create heterogeneous collection pressures that may put vulnerable populations at risk. Furthermore, the study points out the need for integrating auction data with field-based research on population density and genetic structure to accurately assess the impacts of wildlife trades, including online auction. Such an integrated approach is essential for devising targeted monitoring programmes and effective conservation strategies and suggests that implementing nuanced regulatory measures, such as annual limits on the number of living animals auctioned per species, could help mitigate the risks associated with these varied collection pressures under wildlife trades.
The author would like to thank S. Matsuno (Wakayama Prefectural Museum of Natural History [WMNH], Wakayama, Japan) for providing beautiful photographs of the Georhelphusa dehaani species complex and K. Takata (WMNH) for providing valuable comments on the early version of the manuscript. I also thank all anonymous reviewers for their insightful suggestions and comments during the review process.
The author declares no competing interests.
No ethical statement was reported.
For manuscript preparation, ChatGPT 4.0 was used as an initial English proofreader before submitting the manuscript to a professional English proofreading service.
Setsunan University funded to the open access fee of this manuscript.
T. Kunishima: conceptualisation, investigation, data curation, methodology, formal analysis, visualisation, writing – original draft and writing – review and editing.
Taiga Kunishima https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2662-3842
All data analysed during the present study are included in this paper. If raw data files in other formats are required, they can be obtained from the responsible author upon reasonable request.
Photographic examples of each colouration type of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex
Data type: tif
Explanation note: Note: other colour (OT) type includes various patterns, not just yellow individuals (e.g. purple, pink and spotted patterns). Photographs provided by Shigetomi Matsuno (Wakayama Prefectural Museum of Natural History).
Transaction information for the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex sold via Japanese online auctions (January 2013–December 2023)
Data type: docx
Explanation note: including the category (pet or food), origin (wild caught: WC, captive-bred: CB or unverifiable: UN), Prefecture of collection, number of deals, total individuals and total sales volume for each colouration type. To protect the habitats, numbers of deals, total individuals and total sales for OT type and each Prefecture were not disclosed in this table.
Breakdown of the Mix type of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex sold via Japanese online auctions (January 2013–December 2023)
Data type: docx
Map showing the geographical distribution of the frequency and degree of deals associated with each colouration type of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex via Japanese online auctions (January 2013–December 2023)
Data type: tif
Explanation note: Circle sizes represent the number of deals. To protect the habitats, numbers of deals, total individuals and total sales for OT type and each Prefecture were not disclosed in this map.
Number of deals showing the relationship between collection sites and shipping addresses of the Geothelphusa dehaani species complex sold via Japanese online auctions (January 2013–December 2023)
Data type: docx
Explanation note: Bold and underlined figures indicate transactions where the collection sites and shipping addresses coincide. Amateurs are indicated with figures, while those in parentheses represent aquarium shops as sellers. Prefecture abbreviations: MG, Miyagi; AK, Akita; YG, Yamagata; TC, Tochigi; GU, Gunma; ST, Saitama; CB, Chiba; TY, Tokyo; KN, Kanagawa; NI, Niigata; TM, Toyama; IS, Ishikawa; YN, Yamanashi; GI, Gifu; NA, Nagano; SZ, Shizuoka; AI, Aichi; ME, Mie; SI, Shiga; KY, Kyoto; OS, Osaka; HG, Hyogo; NR, Nara; WA, Wakayama; TT, Tottori; OY, Okayama; YA, Yamaguchi; TK, Tokushima; EH, Ehime; KO, Kochi; FO, Fukuoka; MZ, Miyazaki and KG, Kagoshima.
Map illustrating the geographical distribution of the frequency and degree of deals by the top 21 sellers of live Geothelphusa dehaani species complex via Japanese online auctions (January 2013–December 2023)
Data type: tif
Explanation note: Circle sizes indicate the number of deals. The identification number of the top 21 sellers (A to U) and the number of deals in parentheses.