Research Article |
Corresponding author: Jie Zhang ( zhangjie_1966@163.com ) Academic editor: Chris Margules
© 2021 Xin Zhao, Jie Zhang, Hui Guo.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Zhao X, Zhang J, Guo H (2021) Development evaluation of nature reserves under China’s forestry department: A spatiotemporal empirical study at the province level. Nature Conservation 44: 81-97. https://doi.org/10.3897/natureconservation.44.65488
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It is important to evaluate the development level of nature reserves. In this study, we aimed to assess the development level of nature reserves under the administration of China’s forestry department in 31 provincial-level regions from 2005 to 2017 (excluding Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Macao Special Administrative Region, and Taiwan Province). For this purpose, we analyzed the spatial and temporal evolution of nature reserve development in different regions using projection pursuit and spatial econometric methods. In terms of temporal distribution, the development level of nature reserves has been steadily improving, and the growth rate showed the trend of “strong fast” and “weak slow”. However, the development gap among different provinces is large. In terms of spatial distribution, the development of nature reserves presented the characteristics of “high in the west and low in the east” and “high in the north and south and low in the middle.” The endowment of natural resources, scientific research, and investment has a considerable effect on the development level of nature reserves. This study provides suggestions for the differential construction and sustainable development of nature reserves in China.
China’s forestry department, development level, ecological restoration, nature reserve management, spatial correlation
Numerous species are facing a survival crisis and are on the verge of extinction (
The protected area system has grown exponentially over the past decades (
Nature reserve development is closely related to the investment of human resources, funds, and materials (
Nature reserves are managed by the China’s forestry department with an advantage among China’s nature reserves (
This study considered nature reserves' data of 31 provincial-level regions in China(excluding Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Macao Special Administrative Region, and Taiwan Province), from 2005 to 2017. Nine index dimensions were calculated, and the quantitative spatial composition and spatial-temporal development were studied. The original data were obtained from China Forestry Statistical Yearbook (https://navi.cnki.net/knavi/YearbookDetail?pcode=CYFD&pykm=YCSRT), and China Ecological Environment Status Bulletin (http://www.mee.gov.cn/hjzl/zghjzkgb/lnzghjzkgb/). Missing data were reasonably supplemented by extrapolation and data characteristics, and the data were normalized. The map in this study was based on the Standard Map No. GS (2019) 1825 downloaded from the Standard Map Service System of China, with no modifications (http://bzdt.ch.mnr.gov.cn/).
According to relevant statistics, in this study, we established indices (Table
Evaluation index for the development level of nature reserves managed by the forestry department.
The index type | Level indicators | The secondary indicators | Unit |
---|---|---|---|
Natural resource Endowment | Scale | Number of nature reserves | |
Proportion of nature reserves in land area | % | ||
Level | Number of national nature reserves | ||
Proportion of national nature reserve area in land area | % | ||
Investment | Labor | Number of staff members engaged in the construction of wildlife and nature reserves | People / 1,000 ha |
Science and technology | Number of professional and technical personnel engaged in the construction of wildlife and nature reserves | People / 1,000 ha | |
Capital | Total investment in wildlife and Nature Reserve Construction | Ten thousand yuan | |
Local government investment in wildlife and Nature Reserve Construction | Ten thousand yuan | ||
Management | Annual salary of personnel engaged in nature reserve management and wildlife protection | Ten thousand yuan |
The optimal projection vectors were 0.1678, 0.1251, 0.5431, 0.5482, 0.1139, 0.1156, 0.4265, 0.3073, and 0.2409, which were substituted into equation 3 to get the optimal projection value. The Spearman rank correlation coefficient was 0.936, which indicated that the correlation between samples was high, and the results were objective and reliable.
Nature reserves present correlation and heterogeneity in space (
The global autocorrelation model being a global and robust measurement method, is mainly used to investigate the spatial correlation of the entire research area. Moran’s I test is often used to characterize the similarity of spatially connected or spatially adjacent regional units (
(1)
In this model, n is the number of observed units (n = 31) and wij is the space weight of two adjacent units. When two regions i and j are adjacent, wij =1; otherwise, wij =0.xi and xj are the observation variable values of observation units i and j, respectively, and x̄ is the variable mean value. Moran’s I value is generally between -1 and 1, with larger values representing greater spatial correlation. Negative and positive Moran’s I values represent adjacent units in space that have different and similar properties, respectively. When Moran’s I = 0, there is no correlation.
Local autocorrelation models were used to determine local significant correlation, i.e., the degree of correlation between spatial units and adjacent units. Moran’s I local measurement and test, also known as the local indicators of spatial association (LISA) measurement method, is usually represented by LISA clustering graphs, which present the spatial relationship of adjacent units in four quadrants. H–H means that the correlation levels of one spatial unit and its surrounding areas are high; H–L means that a unit is at a high level, whereas its surrounding areas are at a low level; L–L means that both a unit and its surrounding areas are at a low level; and L–H means that a unit is at a low level, whereas its surrounding areas are at high level.
(2)
In this model, Zi and Zj are the standardized observations of xi and xj of adjacent spatial units i and j, respectively (
In this study, we used GeoDa software and Queen weight matrix, assuming that Hainan is adjacent to Guangdong, and conducted the global autocorrelation analysis of 31 provincial-level regions in China, excluding Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Macao Special Administrative Region, and Taiwan Province, from 2005 to 2017 (Table
Moran’s I test on the development level of nature reserves managed by the forestry department from 2005 to 2017.
2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moran’s I | 0.305 | 0.336 | 0.313 | 0.293 | 0.287 | 0.309 | 0.301 | 0.259 | 0.282 | 0.245 | 0.180 | 0.353 | 0.508 | 0.281 |
Z-value | 3.362 | 3.675 | 3.464 | 3.323 | 3.174 | 3.325 | 3.362 | 2.863 | 3.080 | 2.606 | 2.221 | 3.617 | 4.836 | 2.970 |
p-value | 0.010 | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.012 | 0.014 | 0.028 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.010 |
Sd | 0.102 | 0.102 | 0.102 | 0.099 | 0.102 | 0.104 | 0.100 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.109 | 0.097 | 0.108 | 0.112 | 0.107 |
From the temporal perspective, the overall development level of national nature reserves is increasing, and the average projection index in the study area has also increased (Fig.
Trend of development level in China’s nature reserves managed by the forestry department from 2005 to 2017.
From 2005 to 2017 (Suppl. material
To comprehensively reflect the differences in nature reserve development level, we used K-means cluster analysis to divide the development level of nature reserves under the forestry department into five levels: excellent, good, medium, average, and poor, and calculated the average values for 2005, 2011, 2017, and the entire research period (Fig.
Spatial clustering showing the development evolution of China’s nature reserves managed by the forestry department a 2005 b 2011 c 2017 d average.
During the research period, the development of China’s nature reserve managed by the forestry department has steadily improved. Regarding overall development, Tibet and Qinghai ranked excellent; Heilongjiang, Jilin, Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Sichuan, Guangdong, Hunan, and Shanghai ranked good; Yunnan, Guangxi, Jiangxi, Ningxia, and Beijing were identified as medium; Xinjiang, Liaoning, Shanxi, Shaanxi, Shandong, Hubei, Chongqing, Fujian, Zhejiang, and Hainan were average; while Tianjin, Hebei, Henan, Anhui, and Jiangsu were poor. From the temporal perspective, the development of nature reserves under the national forestry department was relatively stable, with the regional aggregation characteristics of “high in the west and low in the east” and “high in the north and south and low in the middle,” increasing in significance, especially in 2017, when provinces with a poor development level were concentrated around the Bohai Sea and its adjacent provinces, showing “cluster” aggregation characteristics. In addition, except Heilongjiang, the development level of nature reserves in Inner Mongolia and Jilin showed a trend of relative degradation in Northeast China.
To further explore the spatial development patterns of nature reserves managed by the forestry department, Moran’s I, which presents the stage development characteristics of weak fluctuation, was used. The lowest and highest significance was 0.180 and 0.508 in 2015 and 2017, respectively, which indicated significant spatial correlation in the development of China’s nature reserves managed by the forestry department. The spatial agglomeration degree was the weakest and strongest in 2015 and 2017, respectively.
The Moran scatter diagram (Fig.
Moran scatter diagram showing the development level of China’s nature reserves managed by the forestry department a 2005 b 2011 c 2017 d average.
The LISA diagram was used to confirm the local correlation types of the development level in nature reserves managed by the forestry department in each province (Fig.
In this study, we considered the nature reserves managed by the forestry administration in 31 provincial-level regions in China, constructed an evaluation index system of their development level, and assessed the factors that influenced it from 2005 to 2017 using the panel data on natural resource endowment and investment on nature reserves. Although this does not fully reflect the protection and management performance, it can reflect the differences in natural resource endowment and investment status among provincial forestry departments, as well as the development of nature reserves and importance these provincial governments place on them. Thus, we can deduce the management status and performance of national nature reserves. Our results were based on the relevant data of nature reserves in forest systems. These data covered 81.78% of China’s nature reserves; therefore, the results of data analysis should be valid.
According to the projection pursuit model, Zhejiang Province ranked 22nd in the study period, whereas using the entropy weight method, it ranked 12th. The order of nature reserve development based on the projection pursuit method was more realistic than that of the existing relevant research judgment (
From 2005 to 2017, the projection index value of the nature reserve development level increased from 0.285 to 0.530, and the overall development level steadily increased. However, the average growth rate showed a differentiation trend, showing a typical “strong fast” and “weak slow” state, which made it difficult to eliminate the imbalance of development level in a short period. Among regions, Shanghai showed the fastest development, followed by Tibet, Guangxi, Sichuan, and Hunan; Jilin and Inner Mongolia ranked significantly lower. This indicates that the development level affects the ecosystem services of nature reserves, consistent with the conclusions of a previous study on ecosystem degradation of nature reserves in this area (
The development of nature reserves managed by the forestry department showed “high in the west, low in the east” and “high in the south and north, and low in the middle” patterns. This can be explained by the high proportion of nature reserves, few human disturbance factors, the high proportion of national investment in the western and northeast regions, and the implementation of effective construction and management strategies in nature reserves in the southern region, especially in the southwest (
The largest ranking change during the study period was for Shanghai, from 17th to 3rd from 2005 to 2015, with the average ranking rising eight places in 13 years. In contrast, Beijing dropped from the 7th place in 2005 to the 18th in 2014, and its average ranking dropped seven places in 13 years. Both Shanghai and Beijing are megacities. In China, the development of nature reserves was in the middle and upper levels, they were greatly affected by human activities, and their natural resource endowment was low. However, the capital and technology investment in nature reserves was huge, and the quality of nature reserves could be guaranteed. The traditional view is that economic development will destroy the natural environment and lead to environmental pollution. However, the relationship between these factors should not be diametrically contradictory, and economic development under the premise of protection can achieve a win–win situation for both nature and humans.
Over time, the regional spatial correlation first weakened and then increased. Furthermore, the attention and provincial investment in the development of nature reserves increased. However, the differences in natural resource endowment and social and economic factors make it difficult to eliminate the spatial imbalance in the nature reserve development level in a short period. This confirmed the imbalance in the natural resource endowment of nature reserves in China. The development level of nature reserves in Shanghai and Beijing also showed that the effective investment in nature reserves in developed provinces can improve their development level and quality; however, the driving effect of such areas on the surrounding areas was weak.
(1) Data sources show that the development of nature reserves in most economically developed areas is weak, and the attention and investment for nature reserves are also insufficient. However, areas with a higher distribution of nature reserves are relatively economically backward, and they heavily depend on national financial investment. An effective investment and financing system for nature reserves should be established; economically developed areas should be encouraged to increase local financial investment in the construction of nature reserves and feedback ecological construction, and attention must be paid to the construction quality of nature reserves at a smaller scale and lower level. (2) The average level of investment in science and technology and human resources was not high in areas with a good development level of nature reserves, owing to their large area, large scale, and remoteness of areas. However, Shandong, Henan, and other provinces with a poor development level lack effective financial investment. Therefore, the construction of nature reserves should be adapted to local conditions, and efforts should focus on the weakness of nature reserves to improve their development level effectively. (3) Nature reserve development benefits more from a larger area rather than a higher number of reserves. The management of nature reserves directly affects the realization of its goal. To make the construction of nature reserves more effective and realize their sustainability, nature reserves should be reasonably set up and constructed according to the resources and development of different provinces.
The projection pursuit modeling process
Step 1: Use the extreme value method to normalize the sample evaluation index set.
Positive indicators, i.e., the bigger, the better:
(1)
The reverse index, i.e., the smaller, the better
(2)
where x*ij represents the original value of the jth index from the ith sample; xij represents the normalized values; and max xj and min xj are the maximum and minimum values, respectively, of the jth index.
Step 2: Construct the projection index function Q (a). The high-dimensional data were transformed into low-dimensional data by synthesizing the n-dimensional data into one-dimensional projection value z(i) with the projection direction of a = {a(1), a(2), a(3), ... a(m)}.
(3)
The projection indicator function should make “the projection points of the sample as scattered as possible as a whole and as dense as possible locally” (
Q (a) = SzDz (4)
(5)
(6)
In this function, E (z) is the average value of the z (i) of the projection value sequence, R represents the window radius of local density, ri, j is the distance between samples, and ri, j = |z (i) – E (i)|, u (t) is the unit step function, being 1 and 0 when t ≥0 and t < 0, respectively.
Step 3: Optimize the projection index function and obtain the optimal projection direction by maximizing the objective function.
max Q (a) = SzDz
(7)
Step 4: Classification and sorting. The best projection direction a was inserted into formula (3) to obtain the projection value z (i) of each sample, and the samples were sorted according to the size of each projection value z (i).
In this study, the index data were normalized by time series and region. The population parameter size n was 400, crossover probability (Pc) was 0.8, genetic probability (Pm) was 0.8, random number (M) required for variation direction was 10, acceleration time (Ci) was 20, and window width radius was (rmax / 3) (
Tables S1, S2
Data type: (measurement/occurrence/multimedia/etc.)
Explanation note: Table S1. Projection values of development level of nature reserves under China's forestry department from 2005 to 2017. Table S2. Ranking of development level of nature reserves under China's forestry department from 2005 to 2017.